I recently wrote an article that has been of interest to many real estate investors. I live in Toronto so I figured this is the best place for me to post :)
I hope you enjoy it and it assists you in your investment options in real estate.. be it real.. or virtual! :)
Table of Contents
- Advantages of Real Estate Investment
- Disadvantages of Real Estate Investment
- What is Virtual Real Estate?
- The Advantages and Disadvantages of Old Single Model Virtual Real Estate
- The Advantages and Disadvantages of New Multi Model Virtual Real Estate
- Conclusions
Throughout history the value of real estate and the laws and
regulations surrounding it have evolved. What is great about this
evolution, is that it creates new opportunities for discovery and
adaptation of the market.
Not long ago there was a fluctuation in the real estate market that
shook many in the industry and changed the perceived value and
investment protection put into real estate today. Once again, this has
created opportunities for those who can see them, while causing others
to run for the hills.
Advantages of Real Estate Investment
The case for real estate, as an investment, has many attractive
qualities. It also has some drawbacks. Some of the more commonly
understood benefits include:
- Creating a diversification of your profile that is documented as part of your assets.
- Returns on investment from tenants that keeps ahead of inflation
- Performance improvements can be done to increase the value of your
real estate. This is very popular with purchasing low cost low value
properties and with a few improvements significantly raising the value
and then selling. Because of this control over the investment real
estate, it is often preferred over other investment models.
- Lending institutions favor real estate investment, making such
investments easier to access for more people (though this has recently
taken a downturn in the mortgage lending market as you can see here: Declining Lender Market for Real Estate)
- Income potential is rather high with deals that can range anywhere from $5000 upwards to $150,000 in a single transaction.
- It is a socially accepted investment which provides status among peers within any social circles and all classes.
The last point is something that many do not consider. However, for
the sake of this comparison it is an important element to note, as
there are emotional attachments that are culturally instilled to make
real estate a more attractive proposition.
Disadvantages of Real Estate Investment
While these benefits are rather well known, there are other aspects
to real estate that have drawbacks. Some of the more commonly
understood issues include:
Cost of Buying, Selling and Operating – Compared to other
investments, the cost of transactions within real estate are high when
dealing with private real estate (the more common market). Larger
transactions can have payments differed, but must be paid nonetheless.
The ownership of real estate, of course, also means maintenance because
just like all things in this world, it requires upkeep. When dealing
with rental properties, there is the added risk of tenants damaging the
property which will increase the cost of your investment.
Ongoing Management – With any real estate you are dealing
with how it will be handled as an investment, as well as managing all
the other day-to-day issues of the property. Using a company to take
care of this for you or doing it yourself, either way costs you time
and money.
Acquisition Difficulties – As many of you already know, you
can spend a great deal of time looking for the right types of
properties to acquire. Once found it can be equally as difficult to
complete the purchase when others may also have interest in the real
estate. To have real diversification of your real estate you need to
have locations that are geographically far apart, which can also be
difficult to handle.
Market Cycles – Just like most investments, there are cycles
within the real estate market. These cycles correspond with those of
the leasing and investment markets. Of course this all happens with
variations in supply and demand which can vary with any number of
economical factors within a given region. A city or town may have its
entire economy powered by one or two big companies that may close down
or experience downsizing which in turn throws the leasing market. The
investment cycles recently experience changes based on the investment
markets that affect property prices. Both these cycles of course impact
the decline and growth of rental properties along with investment
properties. The bottom line to these cycles is timing. Good and bad
timing can make or break fortunes.
Measuring Performance – Measuring the risk and performance of
your real estate can be very difficult where there are no real
accessible benchmarks for comparison.
Money Pit Syndrome – Without due diligence, the emotional
elements of investing in real estate can often cause people to invest
in properties which they think will sell quickly, only to find that
they do not move as they had hoped, or the market cycle mentioned above
affects their position. Then one is left paying an additional mortgage
which they will struggle to maintain. This situation often results in
foreclosure, after an extended period of loss.
The last point is the most common hazard that occurs within the real
estate investment industry. While we like to think that we make
investment decisions that are purely driven by logic, reason, and
numbers, it is often more human elements that, in the end, make our
decisions. The more successful investors are those who have learned to
put aside the emotional and social markers that affect most; they see
opportunities for what they are, make assessments accordingly, and so
have greater odds of success.
Typical Example of Real Estate Earnings:
Rental property
$10K down payment for financing
Mortgage $500 a month
Tenant Pays $800 a month
Profit $300 a month
Multiplied by 10 properties = $3000 a month profit and a real estate
asset value increase or decrease depending on lease hold improvement
requirements with tenants
Investment property
Real Estate Purchase Value $150K
$15K down payment for financing
$10K invested in improvements
$6K to cover mortgage during improvements and selling period (hopefully 3 months)
Sell for $190K
Gross Profit $24K
Minus fees of approximately 5% ($9500)
Net Profit $14,500
Multiplied by 5 properties per year = $72,500 profit before taxes
and a healthy relationship with financial institutions, assuming each
investment property moves within the given period of time. I knew one
investment property owner who sat on over $2 million in properties for
over a year and lost all their capital due to the market not moving to
buy and ended up losing their entire investment.
These are just examples which can scale to any amount you might be
dealing with, whether property values are lower or higher, though it is
understood that bigger deals yield higher returns.
What is Virtual Real Estate?
Recently, with the advent of the Internet, a new type of real estate
opportunity has emerged. Prime locations on the Internet have become
more valued than some of the most coveted properties in the world. All
of this has taken place, for the most part, in only the last decade.
When comparing this new market to the real estate market, which has
existed since the beginning of time, we are dealing with a new born.
What has been most prevalent in the media has been the big movers
which have gone from private to publicly traded companies. Search
engines have garnered much of the media’s attention for their
capability to gather and direct people to the sites with the
information, products and/or services they are seeking. With this
enormous control, they have gained capital investment in the billions.
Other major sites on the Internet are given value based on either a
particular service offered, or on their ability to generate revenues.
For the past few years the news media has started to point out the
billions of dollars that are moving away from traditional bricks and
mortar business towards the online world. The rate of connectivity
people around the world are gaining each day continues to multiply and
new products and services are being introduced to make the virtual
world more accessible and integrated with every aspect of our lives.
Any person of any class or education level can readily see the growth
of the Internet and how it is impacting all industries.
The virtual real estate value of some of the top sites on the
Internet, such as Wikipedia and Facebook, have already been assessed in
the hundreds of millions. While other smaller sites can’t boast such
numbers, make no mistake, they can still carry a high value.
Some real estate investors have seen what has been happening in the
virtual world and recognize the opportunities it presents for creating
new sources of income. The problem many have faced has to do with
taking ‘real world’ concepts and applying them to the online world.
Often times sensible business practices are thrown out the window in
favor of new approaches, only possible online, which many believe will
be more efficient there. Many forget, however, that in the end you are
dealing with people, not ‘visitors’.
Within the virtual real estate world the traditional method of
building value and market worth has usually been done by building a
single project that attempts to engage its visitors either in commerce
or by providing a value service to its members. While this has worked
well for many, the issue that others consistently face when creating
new projects like this has been being able to generate enough traffic
or gain enough members for the project to be profitable. This, much
like the real estate market, is often hit or miss.
Just recently however, with the advent of new technology, it is
possible to own, operate, and manage hundreds, or even thousands of
virtual real estate properties. As illustrated by a conservative
portfolio manager in a recent press release (US Stock Investors Find Shelter in Virtual Real Estate…).
The ability to own larger portions of virtual real estate, which are
given value through their ability to gain traffic from search engines
and social network technologies, creates a new dynamic which calls for
investors to rethink the way they perceived investing in online real
estate.
Even though we are dealing with such a young market, there are
clearly two forms of virtual real estate that are available to
investors now. These two forms I will refer to as the ‘single’ and the
‘multi’ models.
The single model involves a single virtual real estate where all
resources are focused and all value is made. This is what most people
are familiar with and have experience in. With the single model you are
involved in a single topic and have a single source of revenue. Typical
examples of this can be seen in business owners, who have existing
bricks and mortar real estate, setting up a virtual duplicate. Methods
of creation usually are long and complicated and require hiring a
professional, a contract company, as well as a consulting firm in some
instances.
The multi model involves a network of virtual real estate which span
multiple topics and focus more in providing simple resources on
specific topics of interest. With the use of automation and utilizing
various sources of revenue, the multi model involves hundreds of
thousands of virtual real estate which bring in smaller amounts of
revenue that all together, add up to a surprisingly large revenue
source. Multi model also utilizes easy to use technology and support
making it accessible to anybody with little to no background in the
virtual world.
The Advantages and Disadvantages of Single Virtual Real Estate Model
Advantages:
- Low entry cost.
- A single virtual property is easy to manage.
- ROI can be realized within six to twelve months.
- Improvements are less costly.
- Value is determined by traffic and dollars and not market movements.
- Maintenance and ownership costs are low, reducing risk.
- No barriers to entry, licensing requirements or regulations to deal
with, so long as you are not involved in spam email, pornography, or
distribution of copyright protected goods such as music.
- Income potential limited only by the demand of your particular
virtual real estate offering which can range from $2000 to $500,000 per
month in ongoing income.
Disadvantages:
- Single source of income.
- Easily attract competition that will detract from your virtual real estate’s value.
- Getting traffic to convert to monetary value can be difficult
- Server uptime and having a necessary growth path in place often fails, effecting the single source of income.
- No significant asset value to show as part of your documented portfolio until you make an IPO.
- Socially unknown and often not accepted as a practical investment or source of income.
While the advantages and disadvantages are almost equal in number,
the disadvantages are light when compared to those of conventional real
estate. The two factors that tend to matter most to people are mainly
emotional ones which relate to the last two disadvantages regarding
what you can report on your asset portfolio, for status, and what you
can talk about with your friends, in seeking social and peer acceptance.
Though virtual real estate is all around us and being used everyday
by nearly everyone, it is still largely unfamiliar to many. For this
reason, many respond with jest when one attempts to explain its
advantages over traditional markets, which are now in a state of flux
with the introduction of virtual market.
The more serious disadvantages are the single source of income and
the attraction of competition. A recent example of this might be seen
in the social networking world where MySpace came on the scene and
introduced social networking via the medium of music sharing interests.
Competition soon came in and overtook its position, but not before the
owner of MySpace was able to cash out on it for $580 million. The next
competitor up was Facebook who just last year was offered $1 billion by
Yahoo, and rejected it with the expectation of getting more in the
future.
This happens on a smaller scale in more specific markets as well.
Young upstarts will attempt to create a new virtual real estate, but
are quickly duplicated by others. The only good news is that those who
copy often lack the ability to properly manage, maintain, and improve
their virtual real estate and their duplication attempts fail.
Attempting to start multiple single virtual real estate models often
ends in failure due to resources being divided between all of the
virtual real estates and not allowing any of them to break ahead and
gain the share of traffic and monetization necessary to increase their
value. A recent book was published called ‘The Autumn of Multitaskers’.
This work points out how attempting to manage multiple real estate (or
anything for that matter) like this can turn into a disaster, if not
for all, at least for one of your virtual real estates.
Due to technology limitations, up until very recently, these
disadvantages to the virtual real estate market in the single model
structure persist. With the multi model approach, there is a more
distributed approach to virtual real estate that has proven to be very
effective in overcoming almost all the disadvantages of the single
model.
Typical Example of Single Virtual Real Estate Earnings:
Virtual Real Estate Investment (web development, domain, hosting, etc) - $3000
Maintenance (hosting, updates, marketing) - $200 a month ($1200 for 6 months)
Income from advertising or product service sales after 6 months - $2000 a month
Profit - $1800 a month
ROI within first year
Multiplied by 5 virtual properties = $9000 a month profit and with
only cash for asset value which can increase or decrease depending on
competition and market value of given advertising, product, or services.
The Advantages and Disadvantages of Multi Virtual Real Estate Model
Advantages:
- Low entry cost.
- Multiple diversification of sites with automated management.
- ROI can be realized within one to three months.
- Diversification of income sources including advertising, product and
service affiliate sales, and other monetization sources.
- Value is determined by traffic and dollars and not market movements.
- Maintenance and ownership cost is low, reducing risk.
- No barriers to entry, licensing requirements or regulations to deal
with, so long as you are not involved in spam email, pornography, or
distribution of copyright protected goods such as music.
- Automation tools handle traffic promotion to ensure ongoing value increase.
- Income sources from thousands of sites in smaller amounts that add up to large income.
- Scale of numbers makes it nearly impossible for any competition to gain position over your virtual real estate.
- Multiple servers and site distribution ensures that if one server
goes down the rest of your virtual real estate is unaffected and income
sources continue.
- Income potential diversified into smaller amounts per virtual real
estate, enable earnings of approximately $750 per 100 sites per month
ongoing which can be scaled by factors of ten to make as much as
$30,000 per month ongoing.
Disadvantages:
- No significant asset value to show as part of your documented portfolio until you make an IPO.
- Socially unknown and often not accepted as a practical investment or source of income.
The advantages are tremendous in the multi model. Many of the
elements that exist in single model real estate as disadvantages are
transformed into advantages in a multi model platform. The only reason
this has not been possible until now is because the automation
technology enabling the investor to gain holdings to this scale and
maintain value in them was unavailable.
Typical Example of Multi Virtual Real Estate Earnings:
Virtual Real Estate Investment in 4000 sites (automation system, hosting, domains) - $6000
Maintenance (automation system, hosting) $6000 paid quarterly
Initial income from 4000 sites earning $0.15 a day on average = $18,000 a month
Income from advertising or product/service sales after 6 months ($0.25 a day avg. per site) = $30,000 a month
Profit - $30,000 a month
ROI within first month
No need to multiply these results with an average income of $300,000
a year after expenses. However, to multiply by 5 in similar manner
results in $1.5milllion in profit income per month. With
diversification of income sources and approximately 20,000 sites all
generating smaller amounts of income, it is a more solid positioning.
Automation tools now make it possible for any individual, even those
lacking any experience in the industry, to have all the hard work that
has prevented others from succeeding with this multi virtual real
estate model done for them.
Conclusions
The case for virtual real estate over traditional real estate,
especially with the new multi model now introduced, makes a strong
proposition for investors to start looking at the virtual market as a
frontier that should be considered more as a source for cash assets
rather than portfolios which only appear impressive on paper.
Multi model virtual real estate carries the greatest potential
returns with the lowest risks when compared to all other real estate
investment opportunities available. There is currently only one program
available offering this approach, as noted in the referenced press
release above. Because of this, it is a limited resource that
hopefully, in time, will become more accessible to other investors.
Those that manage to gain their position in this new multi model
virtual real estate industry are sure to reap the greatest rewards that
always come with being among the first movers in an industry.
The good news is that only those with the emotional maturity to
assess the advantages and threats of this new multi model virtual real
estate opportunity are those who will make their move, making the rich
richer, and the rest wondering how they missed what was right in front
of them.
By Jonathan Tranter
References:
Declining Lender Market for Real Estate – http://ml-implode.com
The Autumn of Multitaskers – http://www.businessweek.com/the_thread/blogspotting/archives/2007/10/autumn_of_multi.html
US Stock Investors Find Shelter in Virtual Real Estate… - http://www.prwebdirect.com/releases/2007/8/prweb549041.htm